export Communism to the world. But China today is not attempting to turn other countries Communist. Indeed， it is often criticised for being too willing to do business with countries and leaders regardless of their reputation or standing， citing non－interference in the internal affairs of other countries.
Second， China has extensive economic and trade links with the rest of the world. It is a major node in the world economy， unlike the USSR， whose economic links outside the Soviet bloc were negligible. In fact， all of the US’ allies in Asia， including Japan， South Korea， the Philippines， Thailand and Australia， as well as many of its friends and partners， including Singapore， have China as their largest trading partner. They all hope that the US and China will resolve their differences. They want to be friends with both：to nurture security and economic ties with the US， as they grow their business links with China. In a new Cold War， there can be no clear division between friend and foe. Nor is it possible to create NATO or Warsaw Pact equivalents with a hard line drawn through Asia， or down the middle of the Pacific Ocean.
On the other hand， if there is indeed a conflict between the US and China， where will it end？ The Cold War ended with the total collapse of the sclerotic planned economies of the Soviet Union and its allies， under the pressure of enormous defence spending. Even then， it took 40 years. It is highly improbable that the vigorous Chinese economy will collapse in the same way.
China cannot take down the US either. The US is still by far the strongest country in the world. Its economy remains the most innovative and powerful， and its military capabilities and spending far exceed China’s. Americans worry about China catching up with the US， but although China may be ahead in some fields， it will be many years before China can equal the US. And contrary to what some people in China think， the US is not a declining power， nor |
